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Sensitivity analysis is required because _______.


A) payoffs and probabilities are estimates
B) most decision will affect employees
C) expected payoffs are sensitive to the time value of money
D) it's the second step in the decision model
E) with the passage of time, small decisions get bigger

F) C) and D)
G) A) and E)

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If she uses the minimax regret criterion, how many beauticians will she decide to hire?


A) one
B) two
C) three
D) either one or two
E) either two or three

F) A) and B)
G) A) and C)

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For what range of probability that the new cable network will be successful will she select the mixed media strategy?


A) 0 - .4
B) 0 - .55
C) .4 - .7
D) .55 - 1
E) .7 - 1

F) B) and E)
G) A) and D)

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What is the expected value for the decision alternative to select the cancer lab?


A) $100,000
B) $60,000
C) $50,000
D) $40,000
E) $20,000

F) B) and D)
G) None of the above

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If he feels the chances of low, moderate, and high demand are 30%, 30%, and 40% respectively, what is his expected value of perfect information?


A) $15,000
B) $61,000
C) $69,000
D) $72,000
E) $87,000

F) B) and C)
G) A) and E)

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What is the expected value for the optimum decision alternative?


A) $100,000
B) $60,000
C) $50,000
D) $40,000
E) $20,000

F) B) and D)
G) A) and D)

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If he uses the Laplace criterion, which kind of dwellings will he decide to build?


A) single family
B) apartments
C) condos
D) either single family or apartments
E) either apartments or condos

F) A) and C)
G) B) and C)

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If she feels the chances of low, medium, and high demand are 50%, 20%, and 30% respectively, what are the expected annual profits for the number of beauticians she will decide to hire?


A) $54,000
B) $55,000
C) $70,000
D) $80,000
E) $135,000

F) A) and B)
G) A) and C)

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Graphical sensitivity analysis is limited to cases with no more than two alternatives.

A) True
B) False

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If he uses the Laplace criterion, which alternative will he decide to select?


A) do nothing
B) expand
C) build new
D) either do nothing or expand
E) either expand or build new

F) A) and D)
G) All of the above

Correct Answer

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What is the probability that script #1 will be a success, but its sequel will not?


A) .8
B) .7
C) .56
D) .2
E) .14

F) A) and E)
G) A) and D)

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If he uses the minimax regret criterion, which size bus will he decide to purchase?


A) small
B) Medium
C) large
D) either small or Medium
E) either medium or large

F) B) and D)
G) A) and D)

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If she uses the maximin criterion, which advertising strategy will she use?


A) print
B) mixed
C) television
D) either print or mixed
E) either mixed or television

F) B) and E)
G) A) and B)

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The value of perfect information is inversely related to losses predicted.

A) True
B) False

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What would be the total payoff if script #1 were a success, but its sequel were not?


A) $15,000,000
B) $10,000,000
C) $9,000,000
D) $5,000,000
E) $-1,000,000

F) B) and D)
G) A) and E)

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  -If you are uncertain which state of nature will occur, and use the maximin criterion, which alternative will you select? -If you are uncertain which state of nature will occur, and use the maximin criterion, which alternative will you select?

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The maximin strategy would be:


A) A
B) B
C) C
D) D
E) E

F) C) and E)
G) All of the above

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The maximax strategy would be:


A) small
B) Medium
C) med.-large
D) large
E) ex-large

F) A) and C)
G) C) and D)

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If she uses the minimax regret criterion, how many new examiners will she decide to hire?


A) one
B) two
C) three
D) either one or two
E) either two or three

F) A) and E)
G) A) and B)

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A manager's staff has compiled the information below which pertains to four capacity alternatives under four states of nature.Values in the matrix are present value in thousands of dollars. A.

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blured image (A) Assuming a maximax strategy, which ...

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